Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Apr 10th, 2024

indi Mortgage • April 10, 2024

Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

April 10, 2024

The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5¼% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is continuing its policy of quantitative tightening.

The Bank expects the global economy to continue growing at a rate of about 3%, with inflation in most advanced economies easing gradually. The US economy has again proven stronger than anticipated, buoyed by resilient consumption and robust business and government spending. US GDP growth is expected to slow in the second half of this year, but remain stronger than forecast in January. The euro area is projected to gradually recover from current weak growth. Global oil prices have moved up, averaging about $5 higher than assumed in the January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Since January, bond yields have increased but, with narrower corporate credit spreads and sharply higher equity markets, overall financial conditions have eased.

The Bank has revised up its forecast for global GDP growth to 2¾% in 2024 and about 3% in 2025 and 2026. Inflation continues to slow across most advanced economies, although progress will likely be bumpy. Inflation rates are projected to reach central bank targets in 2025.

In Canada, economic growth stalled in the second half of last year and the economy moved into excess supply. A broad range of indicators suggest that labour market conditions continue to ease. Employment has been growing more slowly than the working-age population and the unemployment rate has risen gradually, reaching 6.1% in March. There are some recent signs that wage pressures are moderating.

Economic growth is forecast to pick up in 2024. This largely reflects both strong population growth and a recovery in spending by households. Residential investment is strengthening, responding to continued robust demand for housing. The contribution to growth from spending by governments has also increased. Business investment is projected to recover gradually after considerable weakness in the second half of last year. The Bank expects exports to continue to grow solidly through 2024.

Overall, the Bank forecasts GDP growth of 1.5% in 2024, 2.2% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2026. The strengthening economy will gradually absorb excess supply through 2025 and into 2026.

CPI inflation slowed to 2.8% in February, with easing in price pressures becoming more broad-based across goods and services. However, shelter price inflation is still very elevated, driven by growth in rent and mortgage interest costs. Core measures of inflation, which had been running around 3½%, slowed to just over 3% in February, and 3-month annualized rates are suggesting downward momentum. The Bank expects CPI inflation to be close to 3% during the first half of this year, move below 2½% in the second half, and reach the 2% inflation target in 2025.

Based on the outlook, Governing Council decided to hold the policy rate at 5% and to continue to normalize the Bank’s balance sheet. While inflation is still too high and risks remain, CPI and core inflation have eased further in recent months. The Council will be looking for evidence that this downward momentum is sustained. Governing Council is particularly watching the evolution of core inflation, and continues to focus on the balance between demand and supply in the economy, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behaviour. The Bank remains resolute in its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is June 5, 2024. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on July 24, 2024.

Read the April 10th, 2024 Monetary Policy Report

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Is It the Right Time to Refinance? 5 Signs You Should Consider It

By indi Mortgage • February 26, 2025

Refinancing your mortgage can be a smart financial move, but how do you know if it’s the right time? Whether you’re looking to lower your monthly payments, access home equity, or consolidate debt, refinancing can offer valuable benefits. Here are five key signs that it might be the right time to refinance your mortgage in Canada. 1. Interest Rates Have Dropped One of the most common reasons Canadians refinance is to secure a lower interest rate. Even a small decrease in your mortgage rate can lead to significant savings over time. If rates have dropped since you took out your mortgage, refinancing could help you reduce your monthly payments and save thousands in interest. ✅ Tip: Check with your mortgage broker to compare your current rate with today’s market rates. 2. Your Financial Situation Has Improved If your credit score has increased or your income has stabilized since you first got your mortgage, you might qualify for better loan terms. Lenders offer lower rates and better conditions to borrowers with strong financial profiles. ✅ Tip: If you’ve paid off debts, improved your credit score, or increased your savings, refinancing could work in your favour. 3. You Want to Consolidate High-Interest Debt Carrying high-interest debt from credit cards, personal loans, or lines of credit? Refinancing can help consolidate those debts into your mortgage at a much lower interest rate. This can make monthly payments more manageable and reduce the overall cost of borrowing. ✅ Tip: Make sure the savings from refinancing outweigh any prepayment penalties or fees. 4. You Need to Free Up Cash for a Major Expense Many Canadians refinance to access their home’s equity for renovations, education costs, or major life expenses. With home values rising in many areas, a refinance could help you tap into that value while still keeping manageable payments. ✅ Tip: Consider a home equity line of credit (HELOC) if you need flexible access to funds. 5. Your Mortgage Term is Ending, and You Want Better Terms If your mortgage is up for renewal, it’s the perfect time to explore refinancing options. Instead of simply accepting your lender’s renewal offer, compare rates and terms to see if you can get a better deal elsewhere. ✅ Tip: A mortgage broker can help you shop around and negotiate better terms on your behalf. Is Refinancing Right for You? Refinancing isn’t always the best move—there can be penalties for breaking your current mortgage, and not all savings are worth the switch. However, if you relate to any of the five signs above, it’s worth discussing your options with a mortgage professional. Thinking about refinancing? Let’s chat and find the best option for you!

How To Establish New Credit

By indi Mortgage • February 26, 2025

If you’re new to managing personal finance and you want to learn about credit, you’ve come to the right place. Establishing new credit is a bit of a catch-22. To build a credit history, you need credit. But it’s hard to get credit without having a credit history. So, where do you start? Well, the first thing you should know is that building credit takes time. It’s not something that happens overnight. If you’re looking to secure mortgage financing, you will want to have a minimum of two trade lines (credit cards, loans, or lines of credit) with a minimum limit of $2500, reporting for at least two years. If you don’t have any credit yet, the best time to get started is right now. However, that may be difficult because, as we've already identified, without a credit history, most lenders won’t feel confident about taking a chance on you. What’s the solution? Consider a secured credit card. With a secured credit card, you make a deposit upfront that matches the amount you want to borrow. A reasonable amount would be $1000 deposited on a single secured credit card. You then use your secured credit card to make household purchases and regular utility payments, paying off the total balance each month. If you default on the money borrowed for whatever reason, the lender will retain the money you put up as collateral. When looking for a secured credit card, be sure to ask whether they report to the two nationwide credit bureaus, Equifax and TransUnion. If the credit card company doesn't report, the credit card account will be useless for your purposes; move on until you find a company that reports to both credit bureaus. Once your secured credit card begins reporting to the credit bureaus, you begin to have a credit score; usually, this takes about three months. Now you can start to seek out a second trade line in the form of an unsecured credit card. Don’t forget to ensure that this card reports to both of the credit reporting agencies. Another option at this point could be a car loan. From here, you simply want to make all your payments on time! But what happens if you’re looking to secure mortgage financing before you have a fully established credit report? Well, if you have someone who would consider co-signing, you can certainly go that route. The mortgage application will depend on their income and credit report, but your name will be on the mortgage. Hopefully, when the mortgage is up for renewal, you’ll have the established credit required to remove them from the mortgage and qualify on your own. Although establishing credit takes a minimum of two years, it really begins with putting together a plan. If you’d like to discuss anything credit or mortgage-related, please get in touch!